Will U.S. go to war with Iran?

Our scientifically-conducted national telephone survey results are reported below. This box contains a ballot for our companion online poll, which provides unscientific results.

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Will U.S. go to war with Iran?

Americans, at least those with an opinion, are split over whether or not there will be a military conflict between the U.S. and Iran this year.  When asked in our Poll Position national scientific telephone survey if you believe the U.S. will have a military conflict with Iran this year, 40% said it is likely, 39% said it is unlikely, 21% did not offer an opinion on the question.

Concerns over Iran’s nuclear program, and the possibility of Iran using the program to develop nuclear weapons is a cause of concern for the United States, Israel and other western nations. President Obama has indicated all options are on the table when it comes to Iran but seemingly wants to give diplomacy and sanctions every chance to keep the Islamic Republic’s program in check. Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says his patience is wearing thin with diplomatic efforts towards Iran and says Israel will not live in the shadow of annihilation while Iran closes in on building a nuclear weapon. Iran claims their nuclear program is for peaceful purposes.

Republicans see a conflict most possible with 57% saying one is likely, 25% said a conflict is unlikely, 18% did not offer an opinion. Democrats differed with 54% seeing a U.S. military conflict with Iran unlikely, 22% believe a conflict is likely, 24% did not offer an opinion. Independents were more even in their opinion with 39% believing a conflict is likely, 40% believe a conflict is unlikely, 21% did not offer an opinion.

Among age groups, younger Americans, those in the 18-29 year old age group most believe a conflict is possible with 46% thinking it likely, 37% believe a conflict is unlikely, 18 had no opinion.

Poll Position’s scientific telephone survey of 1,152 registered voters nationwide was conducted March 04, 2012 and has a margin of error of ±3%. Poll results are weighted to be a representative sampling of all American adults.

What do you think?  Vote in our online companion poll and comment below.

The online companion poll in which you can vote provides unscientific results, meaning it’s a tally of participating Poll Position users, not a nationally representative sampling.

Poll Position is committed to transparency and upholding the highest professional standards in its polling, explaining why we provide you with the crosstabs of our scientific polls. Crosstabs provide a breakdown of survey participants by age, race, gender, and political affiliation.  Here are the crosstabs for this poll:  Poll Position National Crosstabs-U.S. Iran Conflict

You can learn more about our polling methodology here.

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