Newt Gingrich or Ron Paul?
When we asked Americans who they think will win the GOP presidential nomination in a head-head race between Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul, Gingrich is the clear winner on two fronts. In a Poll Position national scientific telephone survey, among all Americans asked, 55% think Gingrich will win the GOP nomination, 17% think Paul will be the choice of the Republican party, but 28% did not have an opinion on either of the two. The news is even better for the surging Gingrich when we asked Americans who plan to vote in the Republican primary, as noted below:
The margin is closer among Independents with 45% saying they think Gingrich will win the nomination, 26% picked Paul, however 30% did not yet have an opinion. Among Independents who plan to vote in the Republican primary, Gingrich leads Paul by a 71% to 19% margin. Ten percent of Independents planning to vote in the GOP primary did not have an opinion.
Democrats think Gingrich will win the nomination by 41% to 15% over Paul. However, 44% did not have an opinion. Paul came out on top of Gingrich among Democrats who said they would vote in the Republican primary with 49% choosing him to win the nomination, 34% picked Gingrich, 17% offered no opinion.
Poll Position’s scientific telephone survey of 1,024 registered voters nationwide was conducted December 8, 2011 and has a margin of error of ±3%. Poll results are weighted to be a representative sampling of all American adults.
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Poll Position is committed to transparency and upholding the highest professional standards in its polling, explaining why we provide you with the crosstabs of our scientific polls. Crosstabs provide a breakdown of survey participants by age, race, gender, and political affiliation. Here are the crosstabs for this poll: Poll Position Crosstabs-Gingrich versus Paul
You can learn more about our polling methodology here.